With the AFC and NFC championship video games scheduled for Sunday, the 2020 NFL season has reached its final two video games earlier than Tremendous Bowl Sunday. It is the second largest leg of the game and has already sparked lots of betting exercise. Bettors will look again on the 19 weeks that led as much as these final 4 weekends and search for angles to seek out towards the unfold, the moneyline or the over / below totals.
This column incorporates an in depth breakdown of our favourite bets every week, in addition to a preview of unique information from BetQL. This compilation serves solely as a preview of every part that BetQL gives. Attempt us now to publish our full betting predictions for each convention championship spherical recreation, together with predictions and greatest betting rankings from our NFL Greatest Guess mannequin.
All dates are from Friday morning. You possibly can observe all NFL line actions in BetQL’s line motion dashboard.
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Convention Championship Betting Picks: Unfold the Week’s Picks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) at Inexperienced Bay Packers
My favourite unfold recreation of the week could be to purchase half a degree and take the +3.5 payments in Kansas Metropolis, however when I’ve to unfold on the present place I really feel compelled to go towards 65 % of the sharp climate and play go together with Tom Brady and the Buccaneers who get +3.5 in Inexperienced Bay.
My longtime pal Steve has been a loyal Tampa Bay fan for over 20 years and he hates this alternative due to the Bucs’ dire observe report. “You can be badly overwhelmed this weekend,” stated Steve. “That is what you do.”
However they did not give attention to the most important and best-coupling quarterback of all time till this season. Do not get me improper, I used to be by no means an enormous fan of Tom Brady regardless of my New England ancestry, however I acknowledge his contributions to the Patriot Dynasties and the NFL as an entire. The person by no means will get nervous on the most important levels. He competes till the top.
The Bucs might not win on Sunday, however I simply do not see them shedding multiple area aim. They enforced 4 turnovers, holding Drew Brees and the Saints to a complete of 294 yards (190 passes) of their 30-20 division spherical win. They pitched 507 offensive yards (365 passes) towards an excellent protection in Washington every week earlier, which was good for a 31-23 wildcard win. Brady has executed 16 touchdowns and just one interception within the final six video games of Tampa.
Additionally, let’s not overlook that the Packers fell on the Bucs 38-10 within the first Battle of the Bays this season in week 6. Brady went 17-of-27 for 166 yards and two TDs that week, ending with a score of 104.9 QB. Tampa logged 5 sacks for 53 yards, forcing Packers QB Aaron Rodgers to throw two interceptions. Pack runs again Aaron Jones solely managed 15 yards in 10 runs. Inexperienced Bay solely scored one landing within the loss.
That recreation was clearly an outlier in Rodger’s unbelievable season for which he’s prone to obtain MVP awards. Rodgers, nevertheless, had a ton of issues in massive moments, particularly the postseason. Is All-Professional Wideout Davante Adams slowed down by Tampa’s underrated secondary college once more? Will the Bucs line of protection disrupt Rodgers within the pocket? Will Devin White preserve his borderline inhumane productiveness charge? These are all totally different potentialities.
BetQL’s NFL Greatest Guess Mannequin locations three stars on the Bucs and covers the three.5 factors. It additionally reveals an fascinating development: Tampa Bay has performed 7-1 towards defensive items and allowed greater than 5.6 yards per recreation this season. Inexperienced Bay allowed simply over 5.5 meters per recreation in 2020.
In the end, the Packers gained 27-24, however it is going to be a wild trip to the end line and nobody will breathe simply till the ultimate whistle.
Convention Championship Betting Picks: Moneyline Picks of the Week
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-170) versus Buffalo Payments
It is so arduous to go up towards the Buffalo whom I’ve touted as a breakout contender for the reason that begin of this insane season. Josh Allen has grown by leaps and bounds in entrance of all of us and is on a collision course with historical past in a unbelievable collection of prime-time conquests. However sadly, he isn’t Patrick Mahomes, and the payments simply do not match the defending champions’ dominant depth map.
With Mahomes clearing the concussion log and enjoying on Sunday, it is simply not possible to play on the cash line towards Kansas Metropolis. The reigning Tremendous Bowl MVP’s well being query marks are the one cause these odds are so good. In any other case, we might possible see KC +170 as an alternative of -170.
Winners make sweepstakes, and Mahomes has confirmed again and again that he is the most effective within the NFL on the massive stage. The Chiefs ended the common season with the most effective report, one way or the other enhancing their 2019 offensive. Kansas Metropolis additionally benefited vastly from hiring Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator. The Chiefs cracked the highest 10 within the fewest allowed factors this season and completed fifth in interceptions within the NFL.
The majestic union of Allen and Star Invoice’s huge receiver Stefon Diggs has been a unbelievable story this season and they’ll undoubtedly wreak havoc within the league for years to come back. That stated, Kansas Metropolis has manner too many playmakers, together with the at all times explosive wideout Tyreek Hill and maybe the most effective becoming tight finish ever in Travis Kelce. The payments are about to get their time within the solar, however I simply do not suppose it is this yr.
Convention Championship Betting Picks: Over / Beneath Number of the Week
Inexperienced Bay Packers v Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OVER 51.5
BetQL likes the Payments Chiefs recreation to go beneath 54, however let’s face it, it is extra enjoyable to guess on the OVER within the playoffs. So we make our solution to a barn burner on the Rodgers-Brady showdown on Sunday afternoon.
Statistics are right here on our website. The buccaneers have scored at the least 30 factors of their final 5 competitions and have scored 44 factors twice on this interval. Inexperienced Bay has scored greater than 30 objectives in seven of their final eight video games and has reached 40 twice. The Bucs are the third highest scoring staff within the NFL with the seventh highest yards of the season. The Pack are the very best scoring staff within the NFL and have produced the fifth most yards.
These defenses have each been good this season, however their quarterbacks have been higher. This shall be a battle between two cage veterans, and it’s extremely unlikely that they may grow to be a defensive change of blows. There may be at all times a danger related to the group – 79 % of the sharp cash goes via the OVER on this case – nevertheless it appears smart to me to spend money on the purpose potential of two future Corridor of Fame QBs for first alternative.
Additional betting evaluation and data might be discovered at BetQL. Try the most effective bets, sharp information and rather more from our mannequin for each playoff recreation! You could find all of the up to date NFL strains, spreads and odds at BetQL!