“Circumstances up as a result of we TEST, TEST, TEST. A Faux Information Media Conspiracy,” he wrote on Twitter on Monday morning.
Trump made related claims through the summer season spike in circumstances. They have been flat improper then, as we defined in a July fact check, and they’re flat improper now.

“To say that circumstances aren’t truly growing is to disclaim actuality,” Dr. Tom Frieden, who served as director of the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention below President Barack Obama, stated in a Sunday e mail.

“Not solely are circumstances and infections growing, however hospitalizations — which observe case will increase by a number of weeks — and deaths — which observe hospitalization will increase by per week or two — are additionally growing. What’s extra, the proportion of checks which can be constructive has elevated, and this correlates with elevated precise unfold of an infection.” Frieden added: “Essentially the most dependable data is positivity, and this elevated in all areas of the nation.”

The nationwide positivity fee as of Saturday was 6.1%, per Johns Hopkins College data, up from 4.6% a month prior.

If the rise in reported circumstances “have been resulting from a really excessive degree of testing, we’d count on to see the proportion of checks which can be constructive be very low, actually lower than 3%. Nonetheless that’s not what we’re seeing,” stated Aubree Gordon, affiliate professor of epidemiology on the College of Michigan.

Worsening numbers

On Friday, the US set a brand new report for reported every day coronavirus circumstances: 83,757, in accordance with Johns Hopkins information. By way of Saturday, the seven-day common for every day new circumstances was 66,970 — the highest since late July.
The rise in every day circumstances is much outpacing the rise in every day testing. The COVID Monitoring Venture, an initiative that assembles and analyzes coronavirus information, tweeted on Saturday that “checks rose 3.8% from per week in the past, whereas circumstances are up 20.6%.”
Trump has repeatedly steered that the rise in confirmed circumstances is going on just because checks are capturing circumstances just like the one he says his 14-year-old son Barron skilled. Barron, he has been telling his rally crowds, recovered in “seconds” with no important issues.

However the hospitalization numbers show that many new Covid-19 sufferers are getting fairly sick. Eleven states set new data on Saturday or Sunday for the variety of individuals hospitalized with the coronavirus, in accordance with COVID Monitoring Venture information.

The nationwide variety of hospitalizations hit 41,882 on Saturday, in accordance with the monitoring mission, the best degree since late August.

Surgeon Basic Dr. Jerome Adams instructed a digital convention on Friday that “we’re beginning to see hospitalizations go up in 75% of our jurisdictions throughout the nation.”

“For the reason that week ending September 26 … weekly hospitalization charges have elevated for all age teams mixed, pushed primarily by a rise in charges amongst adults aged 50 years and older,” the CDC said in its report for the week ending October 17.

You possibly can already see the influence of the hospitalization spike in communities across the nation.

Amid a surge in El Paso, the federal government of Texas has converted a convention center into a makeshift hospital to unencumber area in common hospitals. With the Wisconsin well being system “being overwhelmed,” in accordance with Gov. Tony Evers, the state has opened a field hospital on the park the place its state honest is held. Some Utah hospitals have needed to open overflow intensive care units as a result of the everlasting models have been stuffed.
“Our hospitals are being overwhelmed and the stress they’re experiencing is unsustainable,” Gov. Gary Herbert tweeted on Thursday.
One piece of fine information Trump has precisely touted is the truth that remedy for the coronavirus has improved, which implies a smaller percentage of hospitalized individuals are dying at this time than on the outset of the pandemic.
However as Frieden famous, the variety of deaths is nonetheless starting to rise. The seven-day common as of Saturday was 800 deaths per day, up from 738 a month prior.

Testing would not create circumstances

Regardless of all of the troubling information, Trump has continued to lean on the identical false message that testing produces circumstances. Trump stated the very same factor at a Wisconsin rally on Saturday and in his “60 Minutes” interview: “If we did half the testing, we might have half the circumstances.”

That is, after all, not true — in each apparent and fewer apparent methods.

The plain: testing doesn’t trigger circumstances to exist. If the federal government doesn’t report somebody’s coronavirus an infection, that individual nonetheless has the coronavirus.

As well as, testing is a pandemic-fighting instrument that, over time, ought to assist cut back the variety of precise circumstances locally. Doing testing informs individuals they’re contaminated and will immediate them to take steps to keep away from spreading the virus to others. (It is usually important to the method of contact tracing.)
Lastly, Dr. Scott Gottlieb, who served below Trump as commissioner of the Meals and Drug Administration from 2017 to 2019, has noted on Twitter that demand for checks rises as extra individuals expertise signs of the virus. So the amount of checks carried out is pushed partially by the unfold of the virus.

A sample of downplaying

Trump’s makes an attempt to wave away the spike in circumstances is a part of his months-long effort to attenuate the severity of the disaster.

As he has dismissed the rising case numbers, he has additionally continued to falsely claim that the nation is “rounding the nook” on the pandemic, although all the key trendlines are rising, and that the pandemic is “going away,” although he has been baselessly making that declare for more than eight months.
Specialists have been clear: the state of affairs is more likely to worsen, not enhance, within the late fall and within the winter, as temperatures drop and folks spend extra time indoors.
“We’re more likely to see a really dense epidemic. I feel we’re proper now on the cusp of what is going on to be exponential unfold in components of the nation,” Gottlieb said on CNBC on Monday morning.

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