Each NFL Thursday, I’ll try, utilizing the instruments and stats from FTNBets.com, to slay the sportsbooks, scribbling my favourite aspect, whole or prop picks for the week’s Thursday night time recreation. Some will win. Many will lose. Fade or comply with? That, in fact, is as much as you. Right here’s the place I’m stacking bucks on Colts/Titans:
SIDE: Indianapolis ML (+112, DraftKings) — The Colts protection isn’t the ‘85 Bears or ‘00 Ravens, nevertheless it’s rattling good. Darius Leonard, probably the most unassuming stars within the league, is a tackling machine. His hole protection mixed with the hole-stuffing skills of Grover Stewart and Anthony Walker — the pair have accounted for 32 mixed run stops this season — is why Indy is among the many league leaders in a number of dashing D classes. Name a “dive” and likelihood is they’ll give up solely inches. On the 12 months, they’ve yielded 3.12 yards per carry, 62.0 rush yards per recreation and 4 floor scores to RBs. Equally inflexible by way of the air giving up 6.9 move yards per recreation and 221.1 move yards per recreation, the Colts are a pressure to reckon with. Saddle them up and also you simply would possibly gallop into the winner’s circle. Remember Indy has taken seven of the final 10 straight up within the collection.
Participant Prop 1: Jordan Wilkins OVER 31.5 rush yards (-118, William Hill) — Wisconsin product Jonathan Taylor has emitted a stench on par with a block of Limburger. Putrid in comparison with Wilkins in virtually each essential class, together with YAC per try (JT: 2.11; JW: 3.22) and missed sort out proportion (JT: 6.3%; JW: 27.7%), he merely isn’t dwelling as much as the hype. The previous Ole Miss standout is a greater slot in Frank Reich’s energy run scheme. It’s why he’s commanded double-digit touches in consecutive weeks. Tennessee has allowed 4.5 yards per carry and 97.6 rush yards per recreation to rushers. If Wilkins receives one other September 11 carries, which is probably going, he blasts his solution to 32-plus yards. The OVER on 8.5 rush makes an attempt at +115 can be low-hanging fruit.
Participant Prop 2: Derrick Henry UNDER 90.5 rush/receiving yards (-118, William Hill) — See gap. Smash gap. See Josh Norman. Push Josh Norman into the parallel universe. That’s the operating mantra of Tennessee’s Soccer Frankenstein. Henry, evidenced by his 3.51 YAC per try, is a runaway beer truck. Get in his approach and odds are robust you’ll grow to be a hood decoration. Nonetheless, as mentioned above, Indy is as much as the problem. Kareem Hunt is the one rusher to exceed the proposed whole towards them. Heck, even Superman Dalvin Cook dinner couldn’t do it. Dropping occasional work to Jeremy McNichols and virtually nonexistent within the move recreation (10 receptions on the 12 months), Henry may have 25 carries to eclipse 90.
Final week’s report: 2-2