Bundesliga giants Bayern Munich face La Liga facet, Sevilla, on this yr’s version of UEFA Super Cup which will likely be held on Thursday, 24 September 20 at Puskás Aréna, Budapest, Hungary. The 2019/20 Champions League winners are large favourites to win the match and add one other trophy to their assortment however the Europa League champions will likely be eager to trigger an upset.
Previous to tomorrow’s conflict, Bayern have met Sevilla twice – within the quarter-finals of the 2017/18 UEFA Champions League for actual. Each groups drew within the first leg however Bayern managed to undergo the tie with a 1-2 win at Sevilla’s Stadion Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1)
Beginning XI: Neuer – Pavard, Süle, Boateng, Davies – Kimmich, Goretzka – Sané, Müller, Gnabry – Lewandowski
Beginning XI: Bono – Navas, Koundé, Diego Carlos, Escudero – , Fernando, Jordán, Rakitic – Suso, de Jong, Ocampos
Hans-Dieter Flick will likely be anticipated to deploy his group tomorrow in his favoured 4-2-3-1 formation. There’s not a lot change to be anticipated when it comes to personnel after thrashing Schalke 8-0 of their earlier match. David Alaba is uncertain however could return – albeit not within the beginning lineup – if he handed the health take a look at. Alphonso Davies was an unused substitute within the match in opposition to Schalke and will begin on the expense of Lucas Hernandez.
With Thiago leaving for Liverpool, Joshua Kimmich can be anticipated to accomplice up with Leon Goretzka in the midst of the sector whereas Benjamin Pavard slots in at right-back.
Kingsley Coman is a doubt for this recreation after lacking out within the earlier match as a consequence of COVID-19 however Leroy Sané will likely be a more-than-capable starter. The previous Manchester Metropolis winger is predicted to start out as a right-winger whereas former Arsenal man Serge Gnabry fills within the left-winger spot, permitting each to chop inside with extra ease and luxury.
As traditional, Thomas Müller performs as a free-roaming attacking midfielder whereas Robert Lewandowski leads the attacking line.
In contrast to Bayern, Sevilla comes with a clear invoice of well being.
Former Spain and Actual Madrid supervisor Julen Lopetegui could begin with a 4-3-3 formation within the subsequent recreation.
Bono will likely be anticipated to start out because the goalkeeper tomorrow, forward of Tomáš Vaclík. In the meantime, Jules Koundé, who’s rumoured to be tracked by Manchester Metropolis, is predicted to start out tomorrow, partnering with Diego Carlos on the coronary heart of the defence. In the meantime, skilled broad man Jesús Navas is predicted to start out as a right-back while Sergio Escudero slots in at left-back. Argentine footballer Marcos Acuña might also begin as a left-back.
New signing Ivan Rakitic is predicted to fit straight into midfield, enjoying as a left central midfielder whereas Joan Jordán fills in the suitable facet of centre-midfield and Fernando Reges sitting on the backside of the three-man midfield.
As traditional, Suso, Luuk de Jong, and Lucas Ocampos will likely be anticipated to characteristic because the attacking trident.
Sevilla utilising width and Bayern’s aggressive stress
Bayern are identified to be a high-pressing group. Lewandowski and co. normally presses excessive proper when the opposing group begins their build-up or in a goal-kick state of affairs.
In the meantime, Sevilla are a group that have a tendency to construct their play up from the again and look to utilise width to stretch the opposing group’s construction to create vertical gaps or simply merely to create probabilities via crosses from broad areas.
Above you may see how Bayern (purple equipment) could press Sevilla (white equipment) within the build-up. Sevilla normally begin with a brief build-up with the goalkeeper preferring to play the ball to both centre-back. The defensive midfielder normally stays deep to create a diamond-like form on the again whereas each central midfielders normally staying barely increased. Each full-backs sit excessive and broad, stretching the defensive construction.
Sevilla don’t appear to have an inclination to create a back-three within the build-up preferring to stay with two centre-backs however they depend on the pliability of the midfielders in entrance of them. The three midfielders actively transfer round: dropping deep or pushing excessive, typically drifting broad as properly to open passing lanes and angles.
In the meantime, Bayern are inclined to create the form as seen within the picture above when urgent. Bayern are primarily man-oriented of their strategy however they don’t seem to be strictly man-oriented. In addition they use a little bit of house/zonal defending of their strategy with some gamers normally defending in opposition to a person but additionally overlaying passing lane and a few others normally purposely leaving an opponent free with the intention of inviting a move in direction of that individual opponent.
They simulate a pincer when urgent with each wingers trying to press the Sevilla centre-backs whereas closing down their passing lanes to the full-backs. These wingers defend each house and man. They don’t essentially stick near both the opposing full-back or centre-back, however instantly presses if the ball is performed to both of them.
In the meantime, as you may see within the picture above, all three Sevilla midfielders will likely be man-marked by Bayern’s gamers making central development extremely troublesome and dangerous for Sevilla.
Although Sevilla even have sturdy, tall strikers who can win aerial duels and lay the ball off in direction of a teammate, Bayern might be able to shortly press or win the second ball to regain possession as a consequence of their sound defensive construction in addition to aggression, so lengthy goalkeeper distributions in direction of the goal man might also not be ultimate.
The perfect approach to escape this stress appears to be by enjoying on to the full-backs as indicated with the orange arrows above.
Above is the instance of Bayern’s press of their match in opposition to Paris Saint-Germain. As you may see above, the pincer press was in motion with the right-winger of Bayern closing down the ball provider while blocking the passing lane in direction of broad areas. PSG have been utilizing a double pivot on this match and above you may see that Müller nonetheless adopted the PSG central midfielder and marked him intently. In the meantime, left-winger Coman was standing in between the opposing proper centre-back and right-back trying to anticipate a move in direction of both opponent. As you may see, Coman already learn the PSG goalkeeper’s intention and shortly closed down the right-back.
The PSG right-back managed to obtain a move however shortly discovered himself with no good passing choices close by as Bayern shortly shifted their block in direction of the flank and efficiently closed down any passing lanes in addition to establishing an offside lure. The PSG right-back – who was chased down by the explosive Coman – misplaced his composure and rushed his choice, enjoying a move in direction of and offside teammate.
The identical sort of state of affairs might also occur to Sevilla in the event that they’re not enjoying well and punctiliously. As you may see above, Bayern will goal to overload the sturdy facet and they’re going to look to make use of a mix of man-marking and shutting down passing lanes to isolate the ball-carrier. For Sevilla, it could be higher to have the close by choices transfer nearer to ask stress but additionally hold the weak facet gamers excessive and broad to allow them to be accessible for a crossfield move.
As soon as the ball is switched to the underloaded space, Sevilla’s full-back could make an attacking run and exploit the house on the flank whereas the striker and the ball-far winger look to get into the field to assault the supply.
Maybe one other method of building-up/attacking that can be utilized within the recreation is as proven within the picture above. Sevilla might be able to escape Bayern’s excessive stress and assault down the flank by creating overloads on each flanks.
Firstly, you may see that one among Sevilla’s central midfielder drops down, dragging his marker with him and opening up house. On the suitable facet, you may see that the right-back can push ahead and transfer into the half-space, occupying the house that was opened up. Sevilla’s striker additionally shifted barely to the suitable facet.
On the left facet, you may see the central midfielder transferring broad, offering help for the broad males on the left.
By doing so, Sevilla might be able to distribute instantly in direction of both full-back, however as you may see, the suitable facet is extra open and so they could have extra number of choices there. They can distribute in direction of the goal man, so he can lay the ball off onto the unmarked right-back or the goalkeeper can simply instantly loft a move in direction of the right-back.
With Sevilla tending to assault down the flanks and Bayern tending to set-up urgent traps in central areas, it could be safer and simpler for Sevilla to give attention to overloading the flanks relatively than having gamers occupy gaps in central areas.
Sevilla might also attempt to use their u-pattern passing in an effort to get the ball from one facet to the opposite.
The instance above was from their UEFA Europa League match in opposition to Manchester United. Above, you may see that Sevilla efficiently moved the ball backward and forward with a u-pattern passing.
Manchester United have been fairly weak on this match. They lacked compactness and self-discipline and horizontal and vertical gaps have been simply created by Sevilla as they hold transferring the ball backward and forward to power United to maintain shifting their block. These gaps have been simply exploited by Sevilla’s central midfielders as they comfortably moved into open areas in central areas to hyperlink up. Above you may see that Sevilla moved the ball but once more from one facet to a different.
United managed to shift their block throughout the sector to forestall a cross from the left facet. Nevertheless, Sevilla seemed to modify the play once more in direction of the alternative flank.
So as to change play in direction of the opposite flank, Sevilla really appear to do that extra usually than a direct crossfield ball, however in opposition to a highly-disciplined and defensively compact Bayern facet, Sevilla may discover some hassle doing so.
Lopetegui’s facet are fairly affected person in possession. They have a tendency to maneuver the ball quite a bit laterally as talked about earlier on this analysis. Regardless of that, they don’t essentially lack penetration. Although they don’t seem to be as potent in central areas, they are often extraordinarily harmful in broad areas. They’re usually capable of create a whole lot of likelihood from crosses. Final season for instance, Sevilla averaged 20 crosses per recreation, far above the league’s common of 14.46.
Bayern exploiting house between the strains and creating overloads
Sevilla should put together for Bayern’s assaults tomorrow. Flick’s facet are identified to be vertical-oriented, very fluid and versatile, and aggressive in assault.
Bayern normally construct their play up from the again with the goalkeeper enjoying the ball in direction of both centre-back. One of many central midfielders will drop down whereas the opposite stays barely increased. The 2 full-backs additionally sit excessive and broad.
As may be seen above, they have an inclination to create a diamond form within the build-up, permitting them to rotate possession with extra ease. Neuer additionally fairly often become involved within the early section of build-up, permitting them to have a numerical benefit in opposition to the opposing group’s first line of stress.
Other than building-up with two centre-backs, Bayern can typically be seen making a back-three within the early section of build-up with one of many central midfielders dropping and sitting in between or beside the 2 centre-backs. As you may see, the attacking midfielder tends to drop deeper to create supporting angles and present for the ball. You may as well see above that the wingers are inclined to occupy the half-spaces and wish to float in between the midfield and line of defense of the opposing group. Bayern likes to create 2v1 conditions within the half-spaces or on the flanks.
As may be seen above, PSG employed a man-marking strategy in opposition to Bayern within the build-up. Thomas Tuchel’s facet deliberately grow to be asymmetrical in defence however their stress was simply bypassed by Bayern. With close by choices blocked, Neuer can nonetheless entry the left-back who was solely marked loosely by PSG’s right-back on this recreation.
The left-back (Davies) then moved ahead with the ball. There are a number of issues that may be seen within the picture above. Bayern have a tendency to make use of versatile and fluid actions to draw stress/drag opponent out of place to open up passing lanes and angles as may be seen above. Gnabry dropped from his place whereas dragging Kehrer with him.
Bayern additionally are inclined to create attacking overloads in sure areas in an effort to create numerical benefits. This usually causes confusion and dilemmas for the opposing defender, asking inquiries to them and forcing them to decide as to who to shut down or who to mark.
Above you may see Lewandowski transferring to the left facet of the sector, occupying Thiago Silva. As an alternative of creating a run into the house, the Polish striker maintained his place, permitting Müller, to make a curved run from central areas into the house that was created on the flank.
Bayern have fairly a versatile strategy within the assault. They’re not essentially centered on attacking down the flanks nor do they solely penetrate central areas. Similar to Sevilla, Bayern additionally wish to utilise width to power the opposing group to shift their block in an effort to create vertical gaps. However other than that, Bayern are additionally extremely proficient in creating and exploiting horizontal gaps/gaps between the strains via mixed actions.
Above you may see that Bayern have been unable to make a clear vertical development, and determined to shift their assault in direction of the opposite flank. The fast passing sequence to modify the play allowed Bayern to get the ball the place they wished it to be earlier than PSG can shift their block and modify their construction, thus creating gaps in the midst of the sector.
The gamers within the purple circle are Gnabry and Lewandowski. As may be seen above, Lewandowski dropped deep from his place and requested for the ball. In the meantime, on the identical time, Gnabry moved from occupying the right-back to occupying the centre-back, permitting Lewandowski to remain momentarily unmarked. Once more, as talked about above, creating confusion and dilemmas for the opposing defenders.
Bayern are inclined to have their gamers actively transfer, consistently attracting and occupying sure defenders in an effort to assist liberate their teammate.
Each groups are on a really sturdy kind this yr with Bayern profitable nearly each recreation they’ve all through 2020, whereas Sevilla have been unbeatable since February. Bayern, nonetheless, have already got at the very least one aggressive recreation underneath their belt whereas Sevilla haven’t had any. There’s concern that Lopetegui’s facet could lack sharpness, which can dramatically impression how they’ll carry out on this recreation.
Regardless of that, there’s not any doubt that this will likely be a really thrilling recreation each from the attitude of a daily soccer fan or as an analyst. We will actually anticipate not solely a battle of ways but additionally a battle of hearts and can. Will the heavy favourites safe yet one more trophy or will the darkish horses find yourself with a shock win? We will see tomorrow.